blog post Commercial Burglaries Fell in 2023, but Shoplifting Continued to Rise By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Aug 2, 2024 Recently released data show that commercial burglaries across California declined last year but remain slightly above their pre-pandemic level. Meanwhile, shoplifting continued to grow statewide in 2023 and reported incidents are now more than one-quarter greater than before the pandemic.
blog post Retail Theft and Robbery Rates Have Risen across California By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Sep 7, 2023 California has seen an overall increase in retail theft and robbery rates in recent years. Our analysis finds especially notable increases in the Bay Area and the Central Valley, with certain commercial crimes also increasing substantially in parts of southern California.
Fact Sheet Crime Trends in California By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Oct 17, 2023 Violent crime in California has ticked up in recent years, with a pronounced increase in incidents involving guns since 2019. Property crime has also risen steadily statewide, and rates now stand slightly above pre-pandemic levels in 2019.
blog post California’s Major Cities See Some Increases in Crime By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Oct 9, 2020 Violent crime in four major cities—Los Angeles, Oakland, San Diego, and San Francisco—is generally no higher than prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, but some violent crimes have increased.
blog post California’s Major Cities See Increases in Homicides and Car Thefts By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Apr 27, 2021 New crime data show that four major cities—Los Angeles, Oakland, San Diego, and San Francisco—have seen an increase in homicides and car thefts, though violent and property crimes overall remain below pre-pandemic levels.
blog post Two Years of Wide Variation in Crime Trends By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin Mar 21, 2022 Increases in crime during the first year and a half of the pandemic—particularly in homicide and aggravated assault—have been troubling, but most crime numbers are now relatively close to the low levels seen over the last decade.
blog post Low Crime Numbers Leveling off Under Shelter-in-Place By Magnus Lofstrom May 26, 2020 While crime rates continue to be low in major California cities, some crimes—such as burglaries and car theft—have gone up.
blog post A Large Proportion of Crime Goes Unsolved in California By Magnus Lofstrom May 11, 2023 California’s clearance rates—the shares of reported crimes for which police make an arrest and refer the arrestee to prosecution—are better than those nationwide. Still, statewide less than half of violent crimes and only one in ten property crimes are cleared.
press release Proposition 47 Linked to Increase in Some Property Crimes, But Not Violent Crime Jun 12, 2018
Report The Impact of Proposition 47 on Crime and Recidivism By Mia Bird, Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin, Steven Raphael Jun 12, 2018 Passed by voters in November 2014, Proposition 47 brought broad and significant changes to California’s criminal justice system. Undertaken in the wake of public safety realignment in 2011, Proposition 47 reduced the penalties for certain lower-level drug and property offenses and represented a further step in prioritizing prison and jail space for higher-level offenders.
