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Who’s Leaving California—and Who’s Moving In?

By Hans Johnson, Eric McGhee

The primary driver of California's population loss over the past few years has been residents moving to other states. We examine the latest demographic data for those moving out of and into our state and discuss factors that underlie these decisions.

blog post

Large Cities Lose Population even as They Add New Housing

By Hans Johnson

In a major shift, new housing in California now outpaces population growth. We look at what kinds of housing are being built where—and potential implications for affordability and future population patterns.

Report

Paying for Water in California

By Ellen Hanak, Dean Misczynski, Jay Lund, Brian Gray ...

California faces serious funding gaps in five key areas of water management—including safe drinking water in small, disadvantaged communities; flood protection; management of stormwater and other polluted runoff; aquatic ecosystem management; and integrated water management. These gaps amount to $2 billion to $3 billion a year. But bold efforts by state and local leaders can pave the way to sustainable solutions for California’s critical water resources. This research is supported with funding from the S. D. Bechtel, Jr. Foundation and the California Water Foundation, an initiative of the Resources Legacy Fund.

blog post

Many California Renters Remain Financially Stressed

By Hans Johnson, Eric McGhee

Although fewer Californians are behind on rent payments than during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, rents are increasing across the state and housing stress is hitting some regions and demographic groups especially hard.

blog post

COVID-19 and Crime in Major California Cities

By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin

As people across the state shelter in place, the overall number of reported crimes is declining in four of California’s largest cities, though there is evidence of an uptick in certain types of crime.

Report

Anticipating Changes in Regional Demand for Nursing Homes

By Laurel Beck, Landon Gibson

California’s nursing homes provide a major source of personal and medical care for the state’s most vulnerable residents—the elderly and the disabled. By 2030 the state’s 65-and-over population will grow by 87 percent. The number of people requiring skilled nursing care could increase by 32,000, far outstripping current capacities. We find that there will be significant disparities in regional growth rates across racial/ethnic groups and in regions’ abilities to absorb higher numbers of patients. Specifically:

  • The Bay Area and the Inland Empire have the largest discrepancies between existing nursing home capacity and projected demand in 2030; Los Angeles and Northern California (excluding the Bay Area) have the smallest.
  • Regional growth rates in the 65-and-over population vary widely within racial/ethnic groups. For example, rates among Latinos range from 159 percent on the state’s Southern Border (Imperial and San Diego Counties) to 193 percent in the Inland Empire; among Asians they range from 93 percent in the Central Coast to 212 percent in Northern California (excluding the Bay Area).

In order to meet the growing and changing demands for senior care at the statewide and regional levels, policymakers will need to address ways to increase nursing home capacity. These solutions must also include recruiting and training health workers who can provide effective, culturally competent care, whether in skilled nursing facilities or home- and community-based settings.

Report

Planned Developments in California: Private Communities and Public Life

By Tracy Gordon

This report provides a comprehensive portrait of California’s common interest developments (CIDs), which include planned developments, condominiums, and cooperatives. It focuses on planned developments, which now make up more than 40 percent of new single-family home sales and most resemble local governments in their scope of activities. It finds that, on average, their residents are older, more prosperous, and less racially and ethnically diverse than residents in comparable neighborhoods. However, planned developments do not seem to represent a “secession of the successful.” Income diversity in these communities is greater than might be expected, and voting patterns do not differ markedly from those of similar populations with different living arrangements. Although planned developments make only minor contributions to statewide metropolitan residential segregation, this pattern may change as CIDs account for more of the state’s total housing stock.

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